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Anticipating Buyout Deals: A Prospective New Model on an Old Strategy

Milind Sharma and Aravind Ganesan have developed what they call the QMIT Leveraged Buyout Model—a trading strategy—based on anticipating announcements of LBOs based on QMIT’s factor library. Sharma is...

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Zebras Are Reactionaries

Someone told me that it’s all happening At the Zoo. In this case, it was Paul Simon in his 1967 title song where he anthropomorphizes the animals he sees in the Central Park Zoo. Some are deemed to be...

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Goldman Sachs Puts Stop-loss on Options

Goldman Sachs threw in the towel two years ago. Well, “a towel,” anyway. Goldman has lots of towels. But two years ago, Goldman gave up on market making at the US options exchanges. In time for the...

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Low Vol vs Option-Based Strategies

By Nicolas Rabener of FactorResearch (@FactorResearch) INTRODUCTION Some investment products and strategies can be considered toxic given their history on Wall Street. Portfolio insurance is rarely...

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Valuation: A New Approach to an Old Financial Tool

Zane Swanson, an accounting professor at the University of Central Oklahoma, has been at work on a fascinating new approach to the valuation of firms and the valuation of their equity shares. This...

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Meet the New Crisis: Looks Like the Old Crisis

Last month saw an extraordinary spike in the interest rates of the repo market—the market that consists of the (very) short-term, usually the overnight, borrowing of government securities. Hedge funds,...

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Bitcoin Derivatives Behaving Just Like Other Underlying Assets

Bitcoin derivatives act a lot like the derivatives of other asset classes. Two scholars at the University of London recently looked at bitcoin’s “volatility smiles and skews” as found in the short and...

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Past performance guarantees no future results

Since, as everyone says, “past performance is no guarantee of future results,” a history of close correlation between two assets, or between a single asset and a benchmark, is no guarantee of future...

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How to Improve Momentum Risk Management

Matthew X. Hanauer and Steffen Windmueller, two scholars affiliated with the Technical University of Munich, compare the performance of three risk management approaches applicable to the momentum...

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Alternative Investments: Investing By Numbers

What’s in the future for alternative investments asset management? A new publication from Ernst & Young, London, contends that allocations to alternative investments and are “robust,” but that...

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Requiem for a Heavyweight

By Bill Kelly, CAIA Association CEO A requiem is a solemn chant for the repose of the dead. Chant-worthiness when it comes to the Enron Corporation is still subject to much debate depending, of course,...

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An Alternative View of Manager Selection Risk

By Aaron Filbeck, CFA, CAIA, CIPM & Hossein Kazemi, PhD, CFA, CAIA Association & CISDM This is a summary of the editor’s letter originally published in the Volume 8, Issue 4 of the Alternative...

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Hope May Not Be a Strategy…But Neither is a 60/40

By Guest Contributor Aaron Filbeck, CFA, CAIA, CIPM, Associate Director, Content Development The death of the 60/40 may be a welcome change for multi-asset investors who understand that exposure to...

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False Positives and Machine Learning

There is a high rate of failure among quant funds. These include smart beta, factor investing, statistical arbitrage, and CTAs. Such false positive strategies are a widespread industry problem. Since...

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CAIA Alternative Viewpoint: Risk Parity

Mean variance optimization (MVO) is a simple, yet well-regarded asset allocation technique designed to create a portfolio that maximizes it’s expected level of return for a given level of standard...

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SASB + TCFD = Common ESG Disclosure Standards?

The Sustainability Accounting Standards Board (SASB), a non-profit organization has developed industry-specific standards across environmental, social, and governance topics, working toward a consensus...

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Taleb: What Size Tail Does the Smart Money Bet On?

Statistician/philosopher Nassim Nicholas Taleb critiques “behavioral” economics and finance as he looks at the differences between “binary forecasts” and “real world payoffs,” in a recent paper for the...

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In the room where it happens: An investigation of the potential of regulatory...

Keith Black, PhD, CFA, CAIA, FDP, Managing Director of Content Strategy at CAIA Association Do you want to be in the room where it happens, when “The Smartest Guys in the Room”* are plotting their...

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Real Assets ‘Inception:’ Diversification within Diversification

By Aaron Filbeck, CFA, CAIA, CIPM, Associate Director, Content Development at CAIA Association Excerpted from the Alternative Investment Analyst Review, Volume 8, Issue 1 The Alternative Investment...

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Diversification Strikes Back!

By Aaron Filbeck, CFA, CAIA, CIPM, Associate Director, Content Development at CAIA Association, and Keith Black, PhD, CFA, CAIA, FDP, Managing Director, Content Strategy at CAIA Association...

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Using Alternative Data and Machine Learning in Alternative Asset Classes

Keith Black, PhD, CFA, CAIA, FDP, Managing Director of Content Strategy, CAIA Association Michael Oliver Weinberg and Peter Strikwerda work at the Dutch pension fund APG and serve as the head of hedge...

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Covid-19 Alpha

Chris Holt, PhD, CAIA, Senior Advisor, CAIA Association and Associate Director, MBET Program at University of Waterloo During the Global Financial Crisis, the financial world learned that, in times of...

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Time-varying Volatility Adds a Critical Dimension to Diversification

By Masao Matsuda, CAIA, FRM, Founder, Crossgates Investment and Risk Management In January 2020, the CAIA New York Chapter organized an event titled “Volatility? Downside Protection? Asset Allocation...

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Model Risk Management as Algo Trading Expands

The FICC Market Standards Board Ltd. (FMSB) is a London-based standards body for participants in the wholesale fixed income, currencies, and commodities (FICC) markets. It has been looking into the...

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Volatility Forecasting Across the Financial Markets

By Mark Caslin, CEO, Alder Capital Uses of volatility forecasting in financial markets Volatility is generally accepted as the best measure of market risk and volatility forecasting is used in many...

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Time-varying Equity Volatility Markedly Affects Hedge Fund Performance

By Masao Matsuda, CAIA, FRM, Founder, Crossgates Investment and Risk Management One would think hedge funds can weather market gyrations better than long-only equity investments as hedge funds have...

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Stewardship: It Hertz When You Ignore It

Hertz has been around for just over a century. It was started by a fellow name Jacobs in the city of Chicago with a very modest fleet consisting of about a dozen Model Ts. The ensuing years would find...

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Variance Risk Premium: What Premium?

By Nicolas Rabener of FactorResearch (@FactorResearch) INTRODUCTION Investing is akin to fighting in the forever war. There are long periods of peace and prosperity, but investors are frequently drawn...

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The Inflation-Deflation Debate and its Implication for Asset Allocation 

By Alan Dunne, Managing Director, Abbey Capital One of the key questions facing investors at the moment is whether inflation or deflation represents the bigger risk for the coming years. Economists are...

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An ‘Alternative’ Safe-Haven

By Karl Rogers, ACE Capital Investments Abstract: The sovereign bond market has traditionally been a widely used tool for portfolio construction given its dual characteristics of returning a real yield...

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Putting 2020 into Perspective: Diversification May Work Better than You Think

By Rodney Sullivan, CFA, CAIA, Executive Director, University of Virginia Darden School of Business US recessions are typically accompanied by declines in stock market returns and, of course, 2020 has...

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IS DOWNSIDE RISK PRICED IN CRYPTOCURRENCY MARKET?

By Victoria Dobrynskaya, PhD, associate professor of Finance at National Research University Higher School of Economics Looking at the whole cryptocurrency market through the prism of standard...

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Why Alternative Investment Operations Still Matter

By Jason Scharfman Esq., CFE, CRISC, CAMS, CAIA Managing Partner, Corgentum Consulting As an operational due diligence (ODD) professional who performs ODD reviews of alternative investment managers on...

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OECD Works on Sorting Through the ESG Ratings Systems

A report from the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development critiques “current market practices” in connection with Environmental, Social, and Governance investing. It says that the...

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Keynes vs. Markowitz ‘Thrilla in Portfolia’

By Hossein Kazemi, PhD, CFA, CAIA Association, FDP Institute, and Isenberg School of Management Introduction While Keynes vs. Markowitz is not as thrilling as Ali vs. Frazier, it has important...

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Measuring the Inflation Risk of Three ‘Inflation-Hedges’

By Doris Bao, FRM and Alex Botte, CFA, CAIA, Client Solutions Research team at Two Sigma In our previous post on inflation, we covered how the Local Inflation risk factor in Venn, Two Sigma’s risk...

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The New Generation of Behavioral Finance

Meir Statman, a professor of finance at Santa Clara University and a consultant to Avantis Investors, has focused his scholarly efforts for decades on behavioral finance, and those efforts have given...

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Using ESG as a Risk Management Tool

In the first half of 2020, a period dominated by the spread of the Covid-19 virus and by the shut-down of economic activity in country after country around the world, investing with an eye to...

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The Often-Forgotten Art and Science of Manager Due Diligence

By Shana Sissel, CAIA – Chief Investment Officer of Spotlight Asset Group For almost two decades I have worked in roles that were heavily focused on investment manager due diligence across asset...

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Strategic Note: Improved Smile-Implied Hedging

A recent paper by two Canadian scholars looks to improve on the art of smile-implied option replication. Pascal Francois, of the HEC Montreal Department of Finance, and Lars Stentoft, of the University...

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Improving Time Travel in Long-Term Investing

By Ashby Monk and Dane Rook, Stanford Global Projects Center To succeed at investing, you must master time travel.[i] You need to be proficient at beaming yourself into a hypothetical future, and then...

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Enhancing an Income Portfolio with Factor Design

By Daniel Fang, CFA, CAIA, Lead Portfolio Manager at Emotomy, and Sabrina Bailey, CEO at Emotomy Interest Rates to Stay Lower for Longer Since the Great Financial Crisis, central banks across all major...

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The Art of Due Diligence, Part I: The Story Beyond the Numbers

By Keith Black, PhD, CFA, CAIA, FDP, Managing Director, Content Strategy, CAIA Association and Mark S. Rzepczynski, PhD, Founding Partner and CEO, AMPHI Research and Trading Given the reliance on...

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The Art of Due Diligence, Part II: The Good News for Emerging Managers

By Keith Black, PhD, CFA, CAIA, FDP, Managing Director, Content Strategy, CAIA Association, and Mark S. Rzepczynski, PhD, CEO, AMPHI Research and Trading Managing alternative assets is especially...

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Axe Capital and Spartan-Ives: The Impact of Prime Broker Relationships

By Hossein Kazemi, PhD, CFA, CAIA Association, FDP Institute, and Isenberg School of Management Introduction Bobby Axelrod had a good day on June 10, 2018. On this day, Axe Capital’s manager took the...

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Breaking the Fourth Wall of ESG

By Aaron Filbeck, CFA, CAIA, CIPM, FDP, Director of Global Content Development at CAIA Association “In a real magic act, everything is fake.” – Wanda Maximoff, WandaVision (2021) A harmless phrase used...

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What Hedge Fund Risk Systems Don’t See

By Linus Nilsson and Rikard Lundgren Many investors, trading floor managers, fund of fund allocators, and risk managers have experienced unexpectedly large losses that were not predicted by their risk...

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Responsible Investment – Are You Ready?

By Maria Long, Content Director, The Standards Board for Alternative Investments (SBAI) Responsible Investment (“RI”), also known as ESG Investing or Sustainable Investing, is a growing area of...

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Culture Eats Sharpe Ratios for Breakfast

By John Bowman, CFA, Senior Managing Director, CAIA Association This article was originally posted on FundFire on March 24, 2021. Alternative fund manager due diligence has an execution problem. The...

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Gump’s Law and the Butterfly Effect

By Alexander Ineichen, CAIA, CFA, FRM At the beginning of 2019, 50 out of 50 economists surveyed by the Wall Street Journal thought that 10-year Treasury yields wouldn’t fall below 2% during the year....

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